Energy Structure and Intensity Prediction During the 14th Five-Year Plan in China

  • Xing Zhang Department of Economic Management, North China Electric Power University
Article ID: 3063
75 Views, 35 PDF Downloads
DOI: https://doi.org/10.18282/l-e.v10i8.3063
Keywords: Energy structure, Energy intensity, Markov chain, Prediction

Abstract

Markov chain and nonlinear cubic exponential smoothing model are respectively used to predict China’s energy structure and energy intensity during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The results show that the proportion of coal in China during the 14th Five-year Plan period will decrease from 56.5% in 2020 to 51.7% in 2025. The share of non-fossil energy consumption will rise from 16.1% in 2020 to 19.1% in 2025. Compared with 2020, the energy intensity of the three industries will decrease by 18%, 13% and 18% respectively. Based on the prediction results, the energy structure modulating and optimization is analyzed and some suggestions are put forward.

References

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Published
2022-06-20
How to Cite
Zhang, X. (2022). Energy Structure and Intensity Prediction During the 14th Five-Year Plan in China. Learning & Education, 10(8), 70-72. https://doi.org/10.18282/l-e.v10i8.3063
Issue
Vol. 10 No. 8 (2021)
Section
Article

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